Sport Picks

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Holstein Kiel vs Al Ahli SC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Al Hawsawi Z. In: Balobaid S.
Out: Al Hawsawi Z.
22' Event
Ricardo Mathias
42' Event
Davidsen K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Holstein Kiel and Al Ahli SC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstein Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Holstein Kiel
44%
Draws
20%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli SC come out ahead of Holstein Kiel on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 11%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidsen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kvilitaia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricardo Mathias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel 35 / 100
Al Ahli SC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstein Kiel's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Holstein Kiel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli SC let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Al Ahli SC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel VS Al Ahli SC
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel

(Home)
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2
Holstein Kiel
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Sonderjyske
04 Jul
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3
Fredericia
17 May
Dresden
2 : 1
Holstein Kiel
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Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
20 May
Al Khaleej
1 : 4
Al Ahli SC
16 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 0
Al Kholood
11 May
Al Taawon
1 : 2
Al Ahli SC
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