Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iraq U20 vs Lebanon U20

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kadhim R.
9' Event
Kassas A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Iraq U20
33%
Draws
40%
Lebanon U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lebanon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iraq U20 lately — more wins on the board than Lebanon U20.
  • Win probability leans Lebanon U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iraq U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Iraq U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U20 Lebanon U20
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2022 Friendly International
Iraq U20 vs Lebanon U20
1:1
Jul 2, 2022 Friendly International
Iraq U20 vs Lebanon U20
3:0
Jun 24, 2021 Friendly International
Lebanon U20 vs Iraq U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadhim R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lebanon U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U20 28 / 100
Lebanon U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U20 Lebanon U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 23 matches.

Iraq U20's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Iraq U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U20 VS Lebanon U20
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U20

(Home)
08 Jun
Iraq U20
0 : 0
Jordan U20
04 Jun
Iraq U20
1 : 0
Panama U20
10 Jan
United Arab Emirates U20
0 : 2
Iraq U20
07 Jan
United Arab Emirates U20
0 : 1
Iraq U20
07 Sept
Saudi Arabia U20
2 : 1
Iraq U20
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Lebanon U20

(Away)
05 Jul
Lebanon U20
2 : 1
Syria U20
03 Jul
Lebanon U20
0 : 0
Syria U20
29 Sept
South Korea U20
2 : 1
Lebanon U20
27 Sept
Lebanon U20
8 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U20
25 Sept
Lebanon U20
0 : 3
Kuwait U20
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