Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 vs France U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026 Kalevi Keskstaadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Munongo B.
28'
Bonifazi G.
55' Event
Perillo D.

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 in this Euro U17 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Italy U17
44%
Draws
20%
France U17
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U17 have won more games recently than France U17.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 12%
France U17 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 France U17
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 21
Draws 1 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs France U17
1:0
Feb 20, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs France U17
1:2
Feb 18, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs France U17
2:0
Feb 20, 2025 Friendly International
France U17 vs Italy U17
4:0
Feb 18, 2025 Friendly International
France U17 vs Italy U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

France U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 35 / 100
France U17 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 France U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Italy U17 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

France U17 let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS France U17
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
01 Jun
Denmark U17
3 : 3
Italy U17
29 May
Montenegro U17
0 : 3
Italy U17
26 May
Italy U17
1 : 0
France U17
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France U17

(Away)
04 Jun
Belgium U17
2 : 1
France U17
01 Jun
France U17
5 : 0
Montenegro U17
29 May
France U17
4 : 0
Denmark U17
26 May
Italy U17
1 : 0
France U17
31 Mar
France U17
2 : 0
Germany U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U1732013:16
2Spain U1732017:46
3Croatia U1732016:56
4Estonia U1730032:80
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U1732107:37
2France U1732019:16
3Denmark U1731115:84
4Montenegro U1730031:100
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)