Sport Picks

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Ituano vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Novelli Júnior, Itu
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Joao Mandovani
29' Event
Neto Berola
46'
Sub
Eduardo Moura In: Paulo Henrique
Out: Eduardo Moura

AI Match Summary

Ituano in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ituano
44%
Draws
20%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ituano lately — more wins on the board than Confianca.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ituano Clean Sheet 24%
Confianca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano Confianca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie C
Ituano vs Confianca
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Serie C
Ituano vs Confianca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Berola
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano 37 / 100
Confianca 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ituano found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Confianca has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ituano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituano VS Confianca
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano

(Home)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Figueirense
Page 1 of 7

Confianca

(Away)
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
2 Guarani 15 7 5 3 28:15 26
3 Botafogo PB 15 8 1 6 21:16 25
4 Internacional de Limeira 15 7 4 4 18:17 25
5 Santa Cruz 15 7 3 5 15:11 24
6 Paysandu PA 15 7 2 6 23:21 23
7 Maringa FC 15 6 5 4 28:25 23
8 Ferroviaria 15 6 5 4 15:12 23
9 Ypiranga FC 15 6 3 6 18:19 21
10 SER Caxias do Sul 15 5 6 4 14:12 21
11 Floresta EC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
12 Amazonas 15 6 2 7 15:20 20
13 Figueirense 15 5 5 5 13:18 20
14 Ituano 15 5 4 6 16:17 19
15 Volta Redonda 15 5 3 7 11:19 18
16 Maranhao 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
17 Itabaiana 15 4 5 6 13:18 17
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 3 6 6 17:17 15
19 Anapolis 15 3 3 9 13:19 12
20 Confianca 15 3 3 9 9:15 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)