Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Pazarspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Demir A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Karabuk Idmanyurdu and Pazarspor finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pazarspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
22%
Draws
18%
Pazarspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karabuk Idmanyurdu come out ahead of Pazarspor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Karabuk Idmanyurdu's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 68%
Pazarspor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karabuk Idmanyurdu Pazarspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Pazarspor
0:1
Dec 17, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Pazarspor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Pazarspor
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Pazarspor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pazarspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Demir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 68 / 100
Pazarspor 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Pazarspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karabuk Idmanyurdu's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pazarspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karabuk Idmanyurdu VS Pazarspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Home)
18 Apr
Giresunspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
12 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 1
Pazarspor
05 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
2 : 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
24 Mar
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 0
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
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Pazarspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Pazarspor
1 : 0
Amasyaspor
12 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 1
Pazarspor
05 Apr
Pazarspor
3 : 3
Zonguldak Komurspor
29 Mar
Duzcespor
1 : 0
Pazarspor
25 Mar
Pazarspor
0 : 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)