Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leeds vs Brentford

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Elland Road, Leeds
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Struijk P.
42'
Bogle J.
68'
Sub
Aaronson B. In: Tanaka A.
Out: Aaronson B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Leeds and Brentford finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Leeds
39%
Draws
31%
Brentford
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Leeds carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leeds Clean Sheet 20%
Brentford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds Brentford
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
1:1
Jan 22, 2023 Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford
0:0
Sep 3, 2022 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
5:2
May 22, 2022 Premier League
Brentford vs Leeds
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds 31 / 100
Brentford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds Brentford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brentford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Leeds has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leeds VS Brentford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds

(Home)
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4
Leeds
30 Jul
Sunderland
0 : 1
Leeds
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0
Leeds
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
Page 1 of 6

Brentford

(Away)
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Brentford
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2
Crystal Palace
09 May
Manchester City
3 : 0
Brentford
02 May
Brentford
3 : 0
West Ham
27 Apr
Manchester United
2 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)