Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa vs Cadiz

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Reino de León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Recio I.
5'
Garcia V.
43' Event
Moreno V.
Assist: Tresaco R.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Leonesa and Cadiz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Leonesa
20%
Draws
38%
Cadiz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Leonesa haven't matched Cadiz's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Leonesa taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 15%
Cadiz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa Cadiz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Cadiz
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Leonesa
1:2
Mar 17, 2018 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Cadiz
0:1
Oct 14, 2017 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Leonesa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maestre S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cadiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 41 / 100
Cadiz 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa Cadiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cadiz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Leonesa scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Cadiz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS Cadiz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa

(Home)
01 Aug
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 0
Leonesa
30 May
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Leonesa
24 May
Leonesa
0 : 2
Burgos CF
16 May
Leonesa
2 : 1
Eibar
09 May
Albacete
2 : 1
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

Cadiz

(Away)
01 Aug
Tenerife
2 : 3
Cadiz
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
25 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Cordoba
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Leicester
18 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 2
Orlando Pirates
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)