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Lisburn Distillery vs Portadown

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Igiehon B.
36' Event
Thompson G.
44' Event
McCartan S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Lisburn Distillery and Portadown finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portadown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lisburn Distillery
30%
Draws
34%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lisburn Distillery

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Portadown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lisburn Distillery a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portadown have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 20%
Portadown Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Distillery Portadown
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Lisburn Distillery vs Portadown
3:4
Jul 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Lisburn Distillery vs Portadown
1:2
Oct 8, 2013 Irish League Cup
Portadown vs Lisburn Distillery
6:0
Apr 27, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Lisburn Distillery
1:0
Mar 30, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Lisburn Distillery vs Portadown
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisburn Distillery Compare

Top Goalscorer Crawford C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Igiehon B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCullough S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Distillery 36 / 100
Portadown 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Distillery Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Lisburn Distillery found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Portadown let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Lisburn Distillery went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portadown
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisburn Distillery

(Home)
13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3
Lisburn Distillery
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2
Finaghy FC
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1
Lisburn Distillery
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2
Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2
Harland & Wolff
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Portadown

(Away)
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2
Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2
Portadown
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
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