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Marilia vs Uniao Barbarense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Bento de Abreu, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Carlos Alberto
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Marilia and Uniao Barbarense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Marilia
17%
Draws
13%
Uniao Barbarense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Marilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Marilia haven't matched Uniao Barbarense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Marilia a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Marilia Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marilia Uniao Barbarense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Uniao Barbarense
1:0
Mar 25, 2018 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs Marilia
0:0
Feb 17, 2016 Paulista A2
Marilia vs Uniao Barbarense
0:1
Feb 20, 2014 Paulista A2
Uniao Barbarense vs Marilia
1:2
Feb 3, 2010 Paulista A2
Uniao Barbarense vs Marilia
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marilia 77 / 100
Uniao Barbarense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marilia Uniao Barbarense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marilia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Marilia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Uniao Barbarense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marilia VS Uniao Barbarense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
13% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marilia

(Home)
17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2
Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
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Uniao Barbarense

(Away)
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)