Sport Picks
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club
Japan
J2/J3 League Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 
Match Events
11'
11'
Tamura S.
Assist: Tamura R.
31'
31'
Kawasaki S.
Assist: Morita R.
44'
44'
Shirai T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Nara Club advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nara Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nara Club come out ahead of Matsumoto Yamaga on wins alone.
- Model gives Nara Club a 60% chance of winning this.
- Nara Club arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nara Club, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 14%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matsumoto Yamaga | Nara Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 J3 League
Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 J3 League
Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matsumoto Yamaga Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Nara Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Tamura S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kawasaki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matsumoto Yamaga 19 / 100
Nara Club 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matsumoto Yamaga Nara Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nara Club let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Matsumoto Yamaga found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Matsumoto Yamaga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Matsumoto Yamaga VS Nara Club
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Home) 06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Nara Club
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4 Fukushima United
17 May
Iwaki
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
10 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
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06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Nara Club
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4 Fukushima United
10 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
03 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Kofu
29 Apr
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 2 Iwata
Page 1 of 3
Nara Club
(Away) 06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Nara Club
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3 Oita Trinita
23 May
Nara Club
5 : 1 Toyama
16 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Nara Club
10 May
Tokushima
1 : 2 Nara Club
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Nara Club
16 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Nara Club
10 May
Tokushima
1 : 2 Nara Club
03 May
Imabari
1 : 2 Nara Club
25 Apr
Kanazawa
1 : 0 Nara Club
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Blaublitz2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1
Albirex Niigata0
Kagoshima United1
Thespakusatsu Gunma0
Gifu1
Kanazawa1
Gainare Tottori3
Kamatamare Sanuki3
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
Tochigi SC0
Nagano Parceiro1
Tokushima3
Sagan Tosu1
Shonan Bellmare1
Iwaki2
Yokohama FC2
Omiya Ardija1
Kochi United2
Renofa Yamaguchi3
Montedio Yamagata1
Matsumoto Yamaga2
Nara Club4
Oita Trinita3
SC Sagamihara4
Fujieda MYFC3
Ehime0
Kumamoto1
Vanraure0
Fukushima United1
Imabari1
Ryukyu2
Tochigi City4
Iwata3
FC Osaka0
Reilac Shiga1
Final
Blaublitz0
Kagoshima United2
Gifu1
Gainare Tottori2
Kamatamare Sanuki0
Nagano Parceiro1
Tokushima2
Iwaki0
Yokohama FC2
Renofa Yamaguchi1
Matsumoto Yamaga0
Nara Club2
SC Sagamihara3
Kumamoto0
Fukushima United2
Ryukyu1
Tochigi City3
Reilac Shiga1