Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millwall vs Wrexham

England England

Championship 2025/2026 The Den, London
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Moore K.
Assist: Cleworth M.
64'
Doyle C.
70'
Sub
Hardie R. In: Smith S.
Out: Hardie R.

AI Match Summary

Wrexham in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wrexham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Millwall
20%
Draws
38%
Wrexham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millwall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Millwall lately — more wins on the board than Wrexham.
  • Millwall are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Millwall Clean Sheet 20%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall Wrexham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Millwall
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Wrexham
0:2
Apr 28, 2001 League One
Wrexham vs Millwall
1:1
Nov 11, 2000 League One
Millwall vs Wrexham
1:0
Mar 21, 2000 League One
Wrexham vs Millwall
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Brien L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 42 / 100
Wrexham 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall Wrexham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Wrexham has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Millwall has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS Wrexham
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0
Antwerp
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1
Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
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Wrexham

(Away)
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1
Sunderland
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0
Wrexham
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1
Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)