Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest host Zalaegerszegi in the NB I.. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. MTK Budapest have averaged 2 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Zalaegerszegi's 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor MTK Budapest slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.94, favoring Zalaegerszegi. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
MTK Budapest
22%
Draws
60%
Zalaegerszegi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Zalaegerszegi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalaegerszegi lately — more wins on the board than MTK Budapest.
  • Model gives Zalaegerszegi a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%
Zalaegerszegi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Zalaegerszegi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs MTK Budapest
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs MTK Budapest
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 18 / 100
Zalaegerszegi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Zalaegerszegi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Zalaegerszegi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: MTK Budapest remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Zalaegerszegi
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 1
Komarno
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 3
Koper
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
0 : 4
LNZ Cherkasy
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3
MTK Budapest
Page 1 of 6

Zalaegerszegi

(Away)
18 Jul
Konyaspor
1 : 3
Zalaegerszegi
17 Jul
Zalaegerszegi
1 : 0
Epitsentr
11 Jul
Slovacko
3 : 3
Zalaegerszegi
04 Jul
Slaven Belupo
2 : 3
Zalaegerszegi
01 Jul
Ajka
3 : 2
Zalaegerszegi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MTK Budapest00000:00
2Honved00000:00
3Debrecen00000:00
4Gyor00000:00
5Ujpest00000:00
6Paks00000:00
7Zalaegerszegi00000:00
8Vasas00000:00
9Nyiregyhaza00000:00
10Ferencvaros00000:00
11Kisvarda FC00000:00
12Puskas Academy00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)