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Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Kuressaare U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kallas K.
31'
Ounpuu R.
34' Event
Kanne K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Paide Linnameeskond U21 and Kuressaare U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
6%
Draws
4%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paide Linnameeskond U21 come out ahead of Kuressaare U21 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Paide Linnameeskond U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paide Linnameeskond U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond U21 Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 1
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Kuressaare U21
1:1
Jul 7, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Kuressaare U21
4:0
Apr 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanne K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jalak R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond U21 85 / 100
Kuressaare U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kuressaare U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Kuressaare U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Paide Linnameeskond U21 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond U21 VS Kuressaare U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond U21

(Home)
21 Feb
Paide Linnameeskond U21
0 : 1
Valmiera
22 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
15 Nov
Tulevik
5 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21
09 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
2 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
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Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)