Sport Picks

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Paranoa vs Planaltina

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Daniel Guerreiro
49' Event
Ramos Basso R.
78' Event
Daniel Guerreiro

AI Match Summary

Paranoa in this Brasiliense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paranoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Paranoa
6%
Draws
90%
Planaltina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Planaltina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paranoa have won more games recently than Planaltina.
  • Planaltina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 10%
Planaltina Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa Planaltina
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Planaltina
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Guerreiro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos Basso R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Planaltina Compare

Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa 10 / 100
Planaltina 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa Planaltina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paranoa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Planaltina has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Paranoa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa VS Planaltina
1 Goals Scored 2.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa

(Home)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
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Planaltina

(Away)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
05 Oct
Planaltina
0 : 2
Brasilia FC (DF)
28 Sept
Candango
0 : 7
Planaltina
20 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Planaltina
14 Sept
Planaltina
6 : 0
Riacho City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital 9 7 1 1 24:3 22
2 Ceilandia 9 6 2 1 20:8 20
3 Gama 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
4 Brasiliense 9 6 1 2 15:6 19
5 Paranoa 9 5 3 1 13:8 18
6 Real Brasilia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
7 Samambaia 9 2 1 6 8:13 7
8 Ceilandense 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
9 Planaltina 9 1 1 7 5:19 4
10 Santa Maria 9 1 0 8 3:28 3
Promotion - Brasiliense 2024 (Play Offs)