Sport Picks
Paredes vs Sanjoanense
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes 
Match Events
18'
18'
Erik
26'
26'
Sub
Cardoso R. In: Sa G.
Out: Cardoso R.
44'
44'
Yuk J.
AI Match Summary
Paredes in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paredes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paredes lately — more wins on the board than Sanjoanense.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paredes | Sanjoanense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Paredes
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Sanjoanense
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Sanjoanense
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Paredes
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Paredes
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paredes Compare
Top Goalscorer Balelo
2 Goals Assists Leader Erik
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Sanjoanense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paredes 77 / 100
Sanjoanense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paredes Sanjoanense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sanjoanense conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Paredes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Sanjoanense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Paredes VS Sanjoanense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Paredes
(Home) 01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4 Paredes
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0 Paredes
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2 AD Marco 09
26 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2 AD Marco 09
18 Apr
Paredes
0 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
12 Apr
Paredes
4 : 1 Braga B
08 Mar
Paredes
0 : 0 AD Fafe
Page 1 of 3
Sanjoanense
(Away) 18 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 1 AD Fafe
15 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 3 FC Felgueiras
03 May
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1 Sanjoanense
26 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0 Paredes
19 Apr
Braga B
1 : 2 Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1 Sanjoanense
19 Apr
Braga B
1 : 2 Sanjoanense
21 Mar
AD Marco 09
0 : 0 Sanjoanense
01 Mar
AD Fafe
3 : 2 Sanjoanense
22 Feb
Paredes
3 : 1 Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
