Sport Picks
Pobeda Valandovo vs Turnovo
North Macedonia
Division 1 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Pobeda Valandovo host Turnovo in the Division 1 2017/2018. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pobeda Valandovo have averaged 0.75 scored and 4.88 conceded recently, against Turnovo's 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Pobeda Valandovo slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2018, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.68 xG vs 2.74) point toward Pobeda Valandovo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pobeda Valandovo's 0.75 goals per match outpaces what Turnovo have produced (0.6).
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pobeda Valandovo | Turnovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 19 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 23 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.88 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.88 | 0.60 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Turnovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Turnovo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Pobeda Valandovo's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pobeda Valandovo
(Home)Turnovo
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belasica Strumica | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 81:11 | 59 |
| 2 | Borec | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43:15 | 53 |
| 3 | Bregalnica Stip | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 54:20 | 53 |
| 4 | Kozuf Gevgelija | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 34:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Tikves | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 45:43 | 37 |
| 6 | Plackovica | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 7 | Kamenica Sasa | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 32:42 | 25 |
| 8 | Osogovo | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26:53 | 19 |
| 9 | Pobeda Valandovo | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 25:95 | 10 |
| 10 | Turnovo | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:26 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makedonija GP | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 49:23 | 56 |
| 2 | KF Gostivar | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 48:26 | 54 |
| 3 | Vellazerimi | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 46:27 | 53 |
| 4 | Struga | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:30 | 45 |
| 5 | FK Labunishta | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Teteks | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 42:42 | 39 |
| 7 | Gorno Lisice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 32:46 | 35 |
| 8 | Lok. Skopje | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30:41 | 26 |
| 9 | Zajazi | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:62 | 17 |
| 10 | Novaci | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 23:55 | 9 |