Sport Picks
Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan
Poland
Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin 
Match Events
33'
33'
Rodriguez P.
35'
35'
Kozubal A.
45'
45'
Acosta K.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Pogon Szczecin and Lech Poznan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lech Poznan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan come out ahead of Pogon Szczecin on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Lech Poznan taking it.
- Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lech Poznan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Szczecin Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukairu P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Lech Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Kozubal A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Palma L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Szczecin 10 / 100
Lech Poznan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Szczecin's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Lech Poznan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Pogon Szczecin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Szczecin VS Lech Poznan
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Szczecin
(Home) 15 Jul
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
08 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 Chrobry Glogow
04 Jul
Zaglebie
2 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
27 Jun
BFC Dynamo
0 : 3 Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 Chrobry Glogow
23 May
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 GKS Katowice
03 May
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 0 Wisla Plock
18 Apr
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 Lech Poznan
06 Apr
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 2 Legia
Page 1 of 3
Lech Poznan
(Away) 21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
16 Jul
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
11 Jul
Lech Poznan
4 : 0 Bohemians 1905
04 Jul
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 Podbrezova
23 May
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
16 May
Radomiak Radom
1 : 3 Lech Poznan
02 May
Motor Lublin
0 : 1 Lech Poznan
18 Apr
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 Lech Poznan
04 Apr
Jagiellonia
0 : 0 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Rakow Czestochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 18 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | 34 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)