Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progreso vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fernandez N.
15'
Silva G.
25'
Sub
Andueza F. In: Paolini M.
Out: Andueza F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Progreso
30%
Draws
34%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Progreso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Albion have won more games recently than Progreso.
  • Model gives Progreso a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Progreso Clean Sheet 17%
Albion Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progreso Albion
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Albion
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Albion
2:2
Nov 29, 2023 Segunda Division
Progreso vs Albion
3:2
Jul 22, 2023 Segunda Division
Albion vs Progreso
3:0
Apr 22, 2023 Segunda Division
Progreso vs Albion
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progreso Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Ginella F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progreso 36 / 100
Albion 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progreso Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Progreso scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Albion has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Progreso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Progreso VS Albion
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Progreso

(Home)
02 Aug
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Progreso
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0
Maldonado
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
07 Jun
Progreso
1 : 2
Albion
30 May
Danubio
1 : 2
Progreso
Page 1 of 7

Albion

(Away)
01 Aug
Albion
2 : 2
Danubio
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
07 Jun
Progreso
1 : 2
Albion
31 May
Albion
1 : 2
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Montevideo 15 9 4 2 23:14 31
2 Maldonado 15 9 2 4 24:16 29
3 Albion 15 8 4 3 26:16 28
4 Penarol 15 8 3 4 23:16 27
5 Central Esp. 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
6 Montevideo City 15 6 5 4 22:16 23
7 Club Nacional 15 7 1 7 26:21 22
8 Defensor Sp. 15 5 6 4 13:11 21
9 Liverpool M. 15 5 5 5 20:18 20
10 Wanderers 15 6 2 7 16:21 20
11 Danubio 15 4 6 5 17:21 18
12 Cerro Largo 15 5 2 8 16:19 17
13 Boston River 15 5 2 8 14:20 17
14 Juventud 15 4 3 8 17:22 15
15 Progreso 15 2 4 9 12:23 10
16 CA Cerro 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)