Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Gasiorowski Y.
30'
30'
Veerman J.
31'
31'
McTominay S.
Assist: Spinazzola L.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between PSV and Napoli finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- PSV carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on PSV taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- PSV have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
PSV Clean Sheet 13%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSV | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.87 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2025 Champions League
PSV vs Napoli
6:2
Dec 6, 2012 Europa League
Napoli vs PSV
1:3
Oct 4, 2012 Europa League
PSV vs Napoli
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Man D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Saibari I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Napoli Compare
Top Goalscorer McTominay S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSV 84 / 100
Napoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSV Napoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSV scored in 97% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Napoli has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
PSV has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
PSV VS Napoli
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
PSV
(Home) 20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2 PSV
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1 Groningen
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2 Sittard
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 4
Napoli
(Away) 20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2 Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2 Napoli
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2 Napoli
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3 Napoli
02 May
Como
0 : 0 Napoli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
