Sport Picks
Puebla de la Calzada vs AD Llerenense
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
27'
27'
Garcia J.
40'
40'
Pozo A.
52'
52'
Garcia J.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Puebla de la Calzada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla de la Calzada.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puebla de la Calzada
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Puebla de la Calzada haven't matched AD Llerenense's recent run of results.
- Model gives Puebla de la Calzada a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- AD Llerenense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 16%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla de la Calzada | AD Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs AD Llerenense
4:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Puebla de la Calzada
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Puebla de la Calzada
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs AD Llerenense
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puebla de la Calzada Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pozo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
AD Llerenense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puebla de la Calzada 41 / 100
AD Llerenense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puebla de la Calzada AD Llerenense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Llerenense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Puebla de la Calzada's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Puebla de la Calzada remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Puebla de la Calzada VS AD Llerenense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla de la Calzada
(Home) 10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
26 Apr
CD Badajoz
5 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
19 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
19 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
02 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2 Moralo
21 Mar
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2 SP Villafranca
08 Mar
Puebla de la Calzada
3 : 2 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 3
AD Llerenense
(Away) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1 Jaraiz
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2 AD Llerenense
12 Apr
AD Llerenense
0 : 2 Villanovense
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2 AD Llerenense
03 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 AD Llerenense
15 Mar
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 AD Llerenense
01 Mar
Moralo
3 : 0 AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)