Sport Picks
Qarabag Agdam vs Ajax
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku 
Match Events
10'
10'
Duran C.
Assist: Jankovic M.
39'
39'
Dolberg K.
Assist: Steur S.
45'
45'
Baas Y.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Qarabag Agdam and Ajax finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ajax come out ahead of Qarabag Agdam on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Ajax taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 16%
Ajax Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qarabag Agdam | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 10, 2025 Champions League
Qarabag Agdam vs Ajax
2:4
Oct 24, 2024 Europa League
Qarabag Agdam vs Ajax
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qarabag Agdam Compare
Top Goalscorer Duran C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Gloukh O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dolberg K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qarabag Agdam 28 / 100
Ajax 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qarabag Agdam Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AJA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Qarabag Agdam's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Ajax let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Qarabag Agdam remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Qarabag Agdam VS Ajax
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Qarabag Agdam
(Home) 30 Jul
CSKA Sofia
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
23 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia
16 Jul
Vestri
0 : 3 Qarabag Agdam
09 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0 Vestri
01 Jul
Ferencvaros
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia
09 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0 Vestri
01 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 6 FC Kharkiv
16 May
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0 Imisli FK
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1 Turan
Page 1 of 3
Ajax
(Away) 02 Aug
FC Volendam
1 : 3 Ajax
30 Jul
Ajax
4 : 1 Vojvodina
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1 Burnley
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 4 Ajax
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0 Olympiacos Piraeus
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02 Aug
FC Volendam
1 : 3 Ajax
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 4 Ajax
17 May
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Ajax
25 Apr
NAC Breda
0 : 2 Ajax
11 Apr
Heracles
0 : 3 Ajax
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
