Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rade vs Moss

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2024
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jakobsen T.
53' Event
Topallaj R.
76' Event
Mikalsen S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Rade advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rade
6%
Draws
4%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rade's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Rade have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Moss, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rade Clean Sheet 10%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rade Moss
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 3.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup
Rade vs Moss
0:1
Apr 24, 2024 NM Cup
Rade vs Moss
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rade Compare

Top Goalscorer Topallaj R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikalsen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rade 83 / 100
Moss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rade Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Moss registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rade scored in 77% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rade VS Moss
3.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rade

(Home)
01 Aug
Rade
8 : 1
Bjorkelangen
25 Jul
Gjovik-Lyn
0 : 3
Rade
28 Jun
Rade
3 : 5
Lyn 2
20 Jun
Drobak-Frogn
1 : 2
Rade
13 Jun
Rade
7 : 2
Raelingen
Page 1 of 5

Moss

(Away)
02 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Moss
26 Jul
Moss
1 : 2
Raufoss
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0
Moss
27 Jun
Strommen
3 : 2
Moss
21 Jun
Moss
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Eidsvold TF 2
Orn 0
Mjondalen 3
Sandviken 4
Bjarg 6
Fjora 2
Asane 5
Madla IL 3
V. Haugesund 5
Brodd 1
Sandnes Ulf 3
Hei 0
Pors 1
Askollen 1
Odds BK 3
Trygg/Lade 2
Stjordals Blink 3
Mosjoen 0
Levanger 4
Askoy 5
Sotra 4
Lyngbo 1
Brann 7
Senja 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 6
Heming 0
Lyn 2
Torvastad IL 2
Haugesund 1
Varhaug 0
Viking 5
Randesund 0
Jerv 2
Hallingdal 0
Stromsgodset 7
Traeff 5
Surnadal 1
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Rana FK 0
Junkeren 3
Bronnoysund 0
Bodo/Glimt 6
Gjellerasen 2
Strommen 4
Bjorkelangen 0
Lillestrom 7
Volda 1
Hodd 6
Spjelkavik 0
Aalesund 2
Nardo 2
Strindheim 4
Eide Omegn 0
Molde 5
Rade 2
Kvik Halden 0
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Moss 3
Honefoss 5
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Sarpsborg FK 1
Sarpsborg 08 5
Oppsal 3
Follo 1
Union Carl Berner 0
Valerenga 3
Mjolner 1
Floya 2
Sortland 0
Tromso 6
Flekkeroy 1
Sandefjord 0
Vidar 0
Egersund 1
Toten 1
Elverum 3
Ridabu 0
Ham-Kam 5
Melhus 1
Byasen 0
Tiller 0
Ranheim 3
Gamle Oslo 0
Skeid 2
Skreia 0
Raufoss 8
Flint 0
Eik-Tonsberg 6
Drobak-Frogn 0
Fredrikstad 10
Lorenskog 1
Ull/Kisa 2
Sverresborg IF 0
Rosenborg 6
Bossekop 1
Skjervoy 3
Kirkenes 0
Alta 11
Ullern 0
Baerum 2
Asker 0
Stabaek 2
Fram 2
Notodden 1
IL Express 1
Arendal 2
Mandalskameratene 2
Start 1
Forus og Gausel 0
Bryne 10
Nordstrand 0
Kjelsas 1
Nybergsund 0
Kongsvinger 8
Stord 5
Djerv 1919 4
Fana 0
Lysekloster 2
OS TF 0
Froya 2
Forde 2
Sogndal 6
Frigg 3
Grorud 1
Arvoll 0
KFUM Oslo 2
1/32-finals
Eidsvold TF 1
Mjondalen 0
Bjarg 0
Asane 3
V. Haugesund 0
Sandnes Ulf 4
Pors 0
Odds BK 1
Stjordals Blink 0
Levanger 1
Askoy 2
Brann 5
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Lyn 1
Torvastad IL 3
Viking 4
Jerv 0
Stromsgodset 3
Traeff 1
Kristiansund 2
Junkeren 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Strommen 4
Lillestrom 5
Hodd 1
Aalesund 0
Strindheim 1
Molde 2
Rade 2
Moss 1
Honefoss 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
Oppsal 0
Valerenga 4
Floya 0
Tromso 6
Flekkeroy 0
Egersund 1
Elverum 2
Ham-Kam 4
Melhus 1
Ranheim 5
Skeid 1
Raufoss 2
Eik-Tonsberg 2
Fredrikstad 5
Ull/Kisa 1
Rosenborg 3
Skjervoy 0
Alta 1
Baerum 0
Stabaek 5
Fram 0
Arendal 3
Mandalskameratene 0
Bryne 7
Kjelsas 3
Kongsvinger 2
Stord 0
Lysekloster 4
Froya 2
Sogndal 3
Frigg 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Eidsvold TF 2
Asane 1
Sandnes Ulf 5
Odds BK 4
Levanger 1
Brann 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Viking 4
Stromsgodset 4
Kristiansund 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Lillestrom 4
Hodd 1
Molde 3
Rade 0
Sarpsborg 08 1
Valerenga 1
Tromso 0
Egersund 1
Ham-Kam 3
Ranheim 1
Raufoss 2
Fredrikstad 1
Rosenborg 0
Alta 3
Stabaek 4
Arendal 0
Bryne 1
Kjelsas 1
Lysekloster 2
Sogndal 1
KFUM Oslo 2
1/8-finals
Eidsvold TF 3
Sandnes Ulf 5
Levanger 4
Viking 2
Stromsgodset 3
Lillestrom 4
Molde 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Valerenga 3
Ham-Kam 2
Raufoss 2
Fredrikstad 3
Stabaek 5
Bryne 1
Lysekloster 2
KFUM Oslo 3
Quarter-finals
Sandnes Ulf 2
Levanger 0
Lillestrom 1
Molde 2
Valerenga 0
Fredrikstad 1
Stabaek 2
KFUM Oslo 3
Semi-finals
Sandnes Ulf 0
Molde 2
Fredrikstad 1
KFUM Oslo 0
Final
Molde 0
Fredrikstad 1