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Rio Branco SP vs Uniao Barbarense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Daniel Cruz
45' Event
Silva F.
70' Event
Diego Lanzarini

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Rio Branco SP and Uniao Barbarense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Barbarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rio Branco SP
40%
Draws
29%
Uniao Barbarense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Barbarense come out ahead of Rio Branco SP on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco SP Uniao Barbarense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Uniao Barbarense
1:2
Mar 6, 2024 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Branco SP
2:1
Jun 3, 2023 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Uniao Barbarense
0:1
Apr 29, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Branco SP
0:0
Nov 18, 2020 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Uniao Barbarense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Lanzarini
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Cruz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco SP 42 / 100
Uniao Barbarense 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco SP Uniao Barbarense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco SP scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Uniao Barbarense let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Rio Branco SP stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco SP VS Uniao Barbarense
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco SP

(Home)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
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Uniao Barbarense

(Away)
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1
Paulista
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)