Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gimenez C.
16'
Gimenez C.
16'
Gimenez C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rubio Nu
39%
Draws
30%
Nacional Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Rubio Nu.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 18%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Nacional Asuncion
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Oct 21, 2017 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:1
Aug 11, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1
Apr 28, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 32 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Nacional Asuncion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacional Asuncion conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rubio Nu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rubio Nu found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Nacional Asuncion
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115