Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gimenez C.
16'
Gimenez C.
16'
Gimenez C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rubio Nu
22%
Draws
60%
Nacional Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nacional Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Rubio Nu.
  • Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 18%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Nacional Asuncion
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Oct 21, 2017 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:1
Aug 11, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1
Apr 28, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 20 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Nacional Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacional Asuncion conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rubio Nu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rubio Nu's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Nacional Asuncion
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubio Nu

(Home)
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
02 May
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
26 Apr
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Rubio Nu
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Nacional Asuncion

(Away)
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
24 Apr
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)