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Stadium Background

Saint-Malo vs Lorient II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bangoura D.
51' Event
Haribou S.
54' Event
Bangoura D.

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saint-Malo
40%
Draws
29%
Lorient II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient II haven't matched Saint-Malo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 20%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo Lorient II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
4:2
Mar 16, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
0:3
Feb 5, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ebrard A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Haribou S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 32 / 100
Lorient II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo Lorient II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Saint-Malo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Saint-Malo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS Lorient II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2
Saint-Malo
09 May
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Dinan
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0
Saint-Malo
25 Apr
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
17 Apr
Chauray
0 : 1
Saint-Malo
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Lorient II

(Away)
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Angouleme CFC
3 : 2
Lorient II
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0
Saint-Malo
25 Apr
Saumur Olympique
2 : 2
Lorient II
18 Apr
Lorient II
0 : 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)