Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samgurali vs FC Aeti Sokhumi

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2011/2012 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samgurali in this Pirveli Liga 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samgurali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Samgurali
6%
Draws
4%
FC Aeti Sokhumi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Samgurali have won more games recently than FC Aeti Sokhumi.
  • Samgurali are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Samgurali have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 15%
FC Aeti Sokhumi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali FC Aeti Sokhumi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Aeti Sokhumi vs Samgurali
1:2
Apr 19, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Aeti Sokhumi
2:0
Nov 18, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Aeti Sokhumi vs Samgurali
2:1
Sep 19, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Aeti Sokhumi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 84 / 100
FC Aeti Sokhumi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali FC Aeti Sokhumi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

FC Aeti Sokhumi let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: FC Aeti Sokhumi registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali

(Home)
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3
Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
5 : 3
Samgurali
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FC Aeti Sokhumi

(Away)
25 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
1 : 2
Samgurali
19 May
Samtredia
1 : 0
FC Aeti Sokhumi
11 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1
Skuri Tsalenjikha
07 May
Khobi
2 : 0
FC Aeti Sokhumi
03 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1
Zooveti Tbilisi
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