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Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Mixco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Hernandez M.
56'
Pozuelos Y.
56'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santa Lucia
20%
Draws
38%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Lucia haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santa Lucia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 19%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Lucia Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Mixco
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Santa Lucia
1:0
Nov 6, 2022 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Santa Lucia
0:0
Aug 28, 2022 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Mixco
1:1
Mar 11, 2020 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Lucia 42 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Lucia Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Deportivo Mixco's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santa Lucia's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Mixco
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Lucia

(Home)
07 May
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
26 Apr
Santa Lucia
0 : 4
Municipal
23 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
19 Apr
Santa Lucia
2 : 1
Guastatoya
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Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
29 Apr
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
26 Apr
Municipal
3 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)