The Serie D 2018 game between SD Sparta and Moto Club finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Sparta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
SD Sparta
6%
Draws
4%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 6%Favored: SD Sparta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
SD Sparta have managed 0 goals a game lately — Moto Club are scoring more at 1.38.
Model gives SD Sparta a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Serie D 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)69.8%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet19%
Moto Club Clean Sheet17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
SD Sparta
Moto Club
Matches Played
30
30
Wins
11
11
Draws
7
11
Losses
12
8
Goals Scored
0
1.38
Goals Conceded
0
0.5
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2018Serie D
SD SpartavsMoto Club
3:2
Apr 29, 2018Serie D
Moto ClubvsSD Sparta
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Sparta85 / 100
Moto Club10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Sparta Moto Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickSDS Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Sparta's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
SD Sparta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.