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Serrano PE vs Barreiros FC

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Serrano PE
33%
Draws
27%
Barreiros FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Serrano PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Serrano PE haven't matched Barreiros FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Serrano PE's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 10%
Barreiros FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE Barreiros FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Serrano PE vs Barreiros FC
1:1
Oct 12, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Barreiros FC vs Serrano PE
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE 38 / 100
Barreiros FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE Barreiros FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreiros FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Serrano PE scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Serrano PE has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PE VS Barreiros FC
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PE

(Home)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
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Barreiros FC

(Away)
25 Nov
Ipojuca
5 : 0
Barreiros FC
11 Nov
Barreiros FC
1 : 1
Santa Fe PE
04 Nov
Aguia FC
0 : 1
Barreiros FC
28 Oct
Barreiros FC
1 : 2
Cabense
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ypiranga650110:215
2Ipojuca641113:213
3Cabense641112:513
4Santa Fe PE62136:97
5Barreiros FC61234:135
6Serrano PE61143:104
7Aguia FC61053:103
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)