Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
Prado M.
73'
73'
Everton Kanela
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A2 game between Sertaozinho and Gremio Prudente finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gremio Prudente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sertaozinho come out ahead of Gremio Prudente on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Gremio Prudente's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Gremio Prudente here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sertaozinho Clean Sheet 19%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sertaozinho | Gremio Prudente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 15 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.14 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2026 Paulista A2
Sertaozinho vs Gremio Prudente
1:1
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista A3
Gremio Prudente vs Sertaozinho
2:0
Feb 15, 2023 Paulista A3
Sertaozinho vs Gremio Prudente
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sertaozinho Compare
Top Goalscorer Prado M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Gremio Prudente Compare
Top Goalscorer Everton Kanela
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sertaozinho 20 / 100
Gremio Prudente 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sertaozinho Gremio Prudente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sertaozinho's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Gremio Prudente lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Gremio Prudente let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sertaozinho VS Gremio Prudente
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Sertaozinho
(Home) 15 Apr
Sao Jose EC
5 : 0 Sertaozinho
08 Apr
Sertaozinho
0 : 1 Ferroviaria
28 Mar
Sertaozinho
0 : 2 Juventus-SP
22 Mar
Juventus-SP
2 : 1 Sertaozinho
19 Mar
Ferroviaria
1 : 2 Sertaozinho
Page 1 of 6
08 Apr
Sertaozinho
0 : 1 Ferroviaria
28 Mar
Sertaozinho
0 : 2 Juventus-SP
14 Mar
Sertaozinho
1 : 2 Sao Jose EC
28 Feb
Sertaozinho
1 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
18 Feb
Sertaozinho
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
Page 1 of 3
Gremio Prudente
(Away) 17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1 Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Gremio Prudente
0 : 2 Ferroviaria
25 Feb
Agua Santa
4 : 3 Gremio Prudente
22 Feb
Linense
0 : 2 Gremio Prudente
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1 Gremio Prudente
25 Feb
Agua Santa
4 : 3 Gremio Prudente
22 Feb
Linense
0 : 2 Gremio Prudente
14 Feb
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agua Santa | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ferroviaria | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Ituano | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 4 | Sao Jose EC | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Sertaozinho | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 25 |
| 6 | Votuporanguense | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus-SP | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 8 | Piracicaba | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 9 | Osasco Sporting | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22:18 | 22 |
| 10 | Santo Andre | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | 18 |
| 11 | Taubate | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 22:23 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional de Limeira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:18 | 16 |
| 13 | Linense | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Monte Azul | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 15 | Gremio Prudente | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12:16 | 12 |
| 16 | Sao Bento | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8:25 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)