Sport Picks
Sheffield Wed vs Grimsby
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Hillsborough, Sheffield 
Match Events
18'
18'
McGhee C.
37'
37'
Sub
Kobacki O. In: Otegbayo G.
Out: Kobacki O.
37'
37'
Sub
Johnson R. In: Alao Y.
Out: Johnson R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Grimsby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grimsby
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sheffield Wed haven't matched Grimsby's recent run of results.
- Grimsby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Grimsby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Grimsby, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sheffield Wed Clean Sheet 10%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2025 EFL Cup
Sheffield Wed vs Grimsby
0:1
Aug 27, 2024 EFL Cup
Grimsby vs Sheffield Wed
1:5
Apr 3, 2004 League One
Grimsby vs Sheffield Wed
2:0
Oct 15, 2003 EFL Trophy
Sheffield Wed vs Grimsby
2:1
Sep 26, 2003 League One
Sheffield Wed vs Grimsby
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sheffield Wed Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Kabia J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sheffield Wed 10 / 100
Grimsby 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sheffield Wed Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grimsby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Sheffield Wed stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Sheffield Wed scored in 38% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Sheffield Wed VS Grimsby
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sheffield Wed
(Home) 01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0 Sheffield Wed
01 Aug
Accrington
0 : 0 Sheffield Wed
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2 Preston
14 Jul
Hallam
0 : 0 Sheffield Wed
11 Jul
Sheffield Wed
0 : 3 West Brom
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2 Preston
11 Jul
Sheffield Wed
0 : 3 West Brom
02 May
Sheffield Wed
2 : 1 West Brom
18 Apr
Sheffield Wed
1 : 1 Charlton
06 Apr
Sheffield Wed
1 : 1 Leicester
Page 1 of 3
Grimsby
(Away) 04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
18 Jul
Zorya
1 : 1 Grimsby
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0 Grimsby
15 May
Salford
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
