Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Brenes A.
Own Goal
5' Event
Ramos D.
Own Goal
20' Event
Castillo E.

AI Match Summary

Sport Sebaco in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Sebaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sport Sebaco
17%
Draws
13%
UNAN-Managua
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sport Sebaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport Sebaco lately — more wins on the board than UNAN-Managua.
  • Model gives Sport Sebaco a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sport Sebaco have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 20%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sebaco UNAN-Managua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Sport Sebaco
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
4:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
3:1
Sep 15, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Sport Sebaco
2:4
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs UNAN-Managua
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Baquedano R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sebaco 67 / 100
UNAN-Managua 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sebaco UNAN-Managua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

UNAN-Managua has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Sport Sebaco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sport Sebaco's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sebaco VS UNAN-Managua
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sebaco

(Home)
19 Jul
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Sport Sebaco
12 Jul
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Diriangen
05 Jul
Diriangen
1 : 2
Sport Sebaco
25 Apr
UNAN-Managua
1 : 3
Sport Sebaco
20 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 3
Esteli
Page 1 of 6

UNAN-Managua

(Away)
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
24 May
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Matiguas FC
17 May
Matiguas FC
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
25 Apr
UNAN-Managua
1 : 3
Sport Sebaco
19 Apr
Managua FC
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)