Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Briochin vs Concarneau

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Fred-Aubert, Saint-Brieuc
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Faty M.
Assist: Zakharyan A.
10' Event
Gbelle G.
Assist: Tell J.
14'
Gomis A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Stade Briochin and Concarneau finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stade Briochin
44%
Draws
20%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Concarneau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 24%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Briochin Concarneau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Concarneau
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Stade Briochin
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 Coupe de France
Concarneau vs Stade Briochin
1:0
Nov 17, 2023 Coupe de France
Stade Briochin vs Concarneau
4:3
Mar 17, 2023 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Stade Briochin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Faty M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbelle G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varvat J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Briochin 37 / 100
Concarneau 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Briochin Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Stade Briochin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Concarneau conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Stade Briochin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Briochin VS Concarneau
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Briochin

(Home)
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2
Brest
15 May
Versailles
2 : 2
Stade Briochin
09 May
Stade Briochin
3 : 0
Quevilly
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
24 Apr
Stade Briochin
1 : 2
Concarneau
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Concarneau

(Away)
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)