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Struga vs Tikves

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Camara F.
21' Event
Radeski M.
26' Event
Ramadani B.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Struga and Tikves finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tikves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Struga
6%
Draws
4%
Tikves
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Struga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tikves haven't matched Struga's recent run of results.
  • Struga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Struga Clean Sheet 17%
Tikves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Struga Tikves
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 1. MFL
Struga vs Tikves
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Struga
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 1. MFL
Struga vs Tikves
3:0
May 17, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Struga
3:3
Oct 30, 2024 1. MFL
Tikves vs Struga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Struga Compare

Top Goalscorer Radeski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadani B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Struga 84 / 100
Tikves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Struga Tikves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Struga scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Tikves conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Struga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Struga VS Tikves
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Struga

(Home)
25 Jul
Struga
3 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
17 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Struga
08 Jul
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
01 Jul
Struga
1 : 1
Dinamo City
27 Jun
Struga
2 : 3
Dinamo City
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Tikves

(Away)
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
16 Jul
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Tikves
13 Jul
Antalyaspor
2 : 1
Tikves
11 Jul
Tikves
0 : 6
Baltika
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)