Sport Picks
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
Australia
NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland 
Match Events
18'
18'
Hollingdale R.
75'
75'
Maia T.
84'
84'
MacDonald L.
AI Match Summary
Sutherland Sharks in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutherland Sharks.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sutherland Sharks have won more games recently than Manly Utd.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 17%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Manly Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
3:0
May 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
0:3
Jul 26, 2024 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutherland Sharks Compare
Top Goalscorer Hollingdale R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maia T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Manly Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutherland Sharks 36 / 100
Manly Utd 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutherland Sharks Manly Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutherland Sharks found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Manly Utd let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Sutherland Sharks has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sutherland Sharks VS Manly Utd
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutherland Sharks
(Home) 01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
18 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney Olympic
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2 APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
18 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney Olympic
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2 APIA Leichhardt
13 Jun
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Blacktown City
23 May
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 3
Manly Utd
(Away) 02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0 Sydney Olympic
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
27 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3 Manly Utd
06 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 0 Manly Utd
23 May
St. George City
1 : 2 Manly Utd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 59:32 | 60 |
| 2 | Marconi Stallions | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 46:18 | 55 |
| 3 | Sydney Utd | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 37:18 | 54 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 42:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Rockdale Ilinden | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U23 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:38 | 36 |
| 7 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 51:40 | 35 |
| 8 | Manly Utd | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30:30 | 35 |
| 9 | SD Raiders | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38:44 | 35 |
| 10 | Wollongong | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:36 | 32 |
| 11 | Blacktown City | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:41 | 31 |
| 12 | UNSW | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 37:42 | 31 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 28:36 | 31 |
| 14 | St. George City | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 24:40 | 31 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 25:48 | 20 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27:57 | 19 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
