Sport Picks
Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County
USA
MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports, Tukwila, WA 
Match Events
19'
19'
Tsukanome Y.
Assist: Jauregui R.
46'
46'
Sub
Sailor R. In: Winslow J.
Out: Sailor R.
54'
54'
Phoenix C.
AI Match Summary
Tacoma Defiance in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tacoma Defiance.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ventura County at 2.13 per game, Tacoma Defiance at 1.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 13%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tacoma Defiance | Ventura County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County
1:0
Mar 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County
4:6
May 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tacoma Defiance Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsukanome Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ventura County Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tacoma Defiance 35 / 100
Ventura County 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tacoma Defiance Ventura County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ventura County let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Tacoma Defiance scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Tacoma Defiance went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tacoma Defiance VS Ventura County
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tacoma Defiance
(Home) 20 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 4 Tacoma Defiance
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 Tacoma Defiance
06 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
0 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
29 Jun
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
22 Jun
Tacoma Defiance
1 : 0 Real Monarchs
Page 1 of 6
06 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
0 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
22 Jun
Tacoma Defiance
1 : 0 Real Monarchs
18 Jun
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1 Houston Dynamo 2
23 May
Tacoma Defiance
1 : 0 Ventura County
27 Apr
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 1 Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 3
Ventura County
(Away) 19 Jul
Ventura County
2 : 0 Los Angeles FC 2
08 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3 : 2 Ventura County
28 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Real Monarchs
14 Jun
Ventura County
1 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
07 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3 : 2 Ventura County
23 May
Tacoma Defiance
1 : 0 Ventura County
17 May
Los Angeles FC 2
3 : 2 Ventura County
10 May
Portland Timbers 2
3 : 4 Ventura County
07 May
Sporting Kansas City II
0 : 2 Ventura County
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 4 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 5 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 9 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)