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Tarbes vs Marseille II

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National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Tarbes Logo

Tarbes

1 - 0
FT
Marseille II Logo

Marseille II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 game between Tarbes and Marseille II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tarbes
6%
Draws
90%
Marseille II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Marseille II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Marseille II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Marseille II taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 10%
Marseille II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Marseille II
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Marseille II vs Tarbes
1:2
Dec 20, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Marseille II
1:0
Apr 15, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Marseille II vs Tarbes
1:0
Nov 26, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Marseille II
2:1
Feb 20, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Marseille II vs Tarbes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 10 / 100
Marseille II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Marseille II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marseille II conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

Tarbes found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tarbes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Marseille II
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
19 May
Tarbes
0 : 3
Toulon
12 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Tarbes
28 Apr
Tarbes
1 : 0
RC Grasse
21 Apr
Stade Bordelais
3 : 1
Tarbes
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Marseille II

(Away)
09 Aug
Villefranche
1 : 2
Marseille II
26 Jul
Marignane GCB
1 : 3
Marseille II
28 May
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 1
Marseille II
21 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Martigues
14 May
Monaco II
2 : 4
Marseille II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)