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Stadium Background

Telstar vs Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Benita M.
45'
Kulenovic L.
46'
Sub
Hatenboer C. In: Ritmeester van de Kamp J.
Out: Hatenboer C.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Telstar and Heracles finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telstar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Telstar
30%
Draws
34%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Telstar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Telstar come out ahead of Heracles on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Telstar taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Telstar Clean Sheet 20%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar Heracles
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Heracles
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Telstar
1:1
Feb 24, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Telstar
7:0
Sep 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Heracles
0:3
Jul 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Telstar vs Heracles
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Offerhaus G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noslin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Heracles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar 36 / 100
Heracles 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telstar found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Heracles let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Heracles's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Telstar VS Heracles
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar

(Home)
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1
Telstar
17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6
Telstar
11 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0
Telstar
04 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1
Telstar
17 May
FC Volendam
1 : 2
Telstar
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)