Sport Picks
Tluchowo vs Pogon Szczecin II
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Kmiecik M.
43'
43'
Kusmierczyk B.
49'
49'
Stanowski K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pogon Szczecin II lately — more wins on the board than Tluchowo.
- Pogon Szczecin II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 11%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tluchowo | Pogon Szczecin II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Pogon Szczecin II
3:3
Oct 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Tluchowo
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tluchowo Compare
Top Goalscorer Kmiecik M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Figura D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Pogon Szczecin II Compare
Top Goalscorer Kusmierczyk B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stanowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tluchowo 10 / 100
Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tluchowo Pogon Szczecin II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Szczecin II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
Tluchowo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Tluchowo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tluchowo VS Pogon Szczecin II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tluchowo
(Home) 18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5 Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4 Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2 Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1 Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4 Blekitni Stargard
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1 Lech Poznan II
01 May
Tluchowo
3 : 3 Pogon Szczecin II
25 Apr
Tluchowo
1 : 1 Luzino
11 Apr
Tluchowo
0 : 3 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 3
Pogon Szczecin II
(Away) 30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4 Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1 Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0 Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4 Pogon Szczecin II
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin II
01 May
Tluchowo
3 : 3 Pogon Szczecin II
18 Apr
Lipno Steszew
1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin II
03 Apr
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)