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Treasure Beach vs Molynes United

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Steths Sports Complex, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Pennicooke M.
63' Event
Murray O.

AI Match Summary

Molynes United in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molynes United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Treasure Beach
6%
Draws
90%
Molynes United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Molynes United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molynes United lately — more wins on the board than Treasure Beach.
  • Model gives Molynes United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 10%
Molynes United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treasure Beach Molynes United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Molynes United
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Molynes United vs Treasure Beach
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Molynes United
2:2
Feb 18, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Molynes United
2:2
Nov 23, 2023 Premier League
Molynes United vs Treasure Beach
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treasure Beach Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Molynes United Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennicooke M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murray O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treasure Beach 10 / 100
Molynes United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treasure Beach Molynes United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Molynes United has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Treasure Beach has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Treasure Beach scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Treasure Beach VS Molynes United
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Treasure Beach

(Home)
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
24 Apr
Waterhouse
1 : 2
Treasure Beach
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Molynes United

(Away)
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Molynes United
0 : 1
Harbour View
27 Apr
Molynes United
2 : 0
Tivoli
22 Apr
Racing United
1 : 2
Molynes United
19 Apr
Molynes United
3 : 0
Arnett Gardens
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)