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Stadium Background

Troyes vs Clermont

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Ackra A.
46'
Sub
Cantero E. In: Camblan A.
Out: Cantero E.
51' Event
Bamba K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Troyes and Clermont finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Troyes
11%
Draws
9%
Clermont
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Troyes come out ahead of Clermont on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Troyes's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Troyes Clean Sheet 20%
Clermont Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Clermont
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 18 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Clermont
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Troyes
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Troyes
0:2
Aug 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Clermont
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Clermont vs Troyes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Diawara K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adeline M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Clermont Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 76 / 100
Clermont 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Clermont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Troyes scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Clermont's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Troyes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Clermont
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2
GOAL FC
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0
Red Star
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3
Troyes
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0
Troyes
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Clermont

(Away)
01 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1
Grenoble
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Clermont
1 : 1
Quevilly
18 Jul
Clermont
4 : 1
Andrezieux
15 Jul
Clermont
0 : 0
Bourges 18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)