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UD Songo vs Textafrica

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Miquissone L.
40' Event
Miquissone L.
72' Event
Reis A.

AI Match Summary

UD Songo in this Mocambola 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Songo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD Songo
6%
Draws
4%
Textafrica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Songo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Songo lately — more wins on the board than Textafrica.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UD Songo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Songo have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Textafrica Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Textafrica
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Textafrica
5:1
Aug 10, 2025 Mocambola
Textafrica vs UD Songo
1:2
Oct 23, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Textafrica
3:2
Apr 21, 2024 Mocambola
Textafrica vs UD Songo
0:2
Sep 29, 2021 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Textafrica
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Songo Compare

Top Goalscorer Miquissone L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Reis A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Textafrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Eladio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 85 / 100
Textafrica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Textafrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UDS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

UD Songo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Textafrica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Textafrica
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
27 Jul
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0
UD Songo
24 Jul
Ferroviario Nampula
0 : 0
UD Songo
01 Jul
UD Songo
3 : 0
AD Pemba
26 Jun
UD Songo
1 : 1
Baia de Pemba
20 Jun
Costa do Sol
2 : 2
UD Songo
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Textafrica

(Away)
07 Dec
Ferroviario Beira
1 : 0
Textafrica
27 Nov
UD Songo
5 : 1
Textafrica
23 Nov
Textafrica
3 : 1
Desportivo de Nacala
13 Nov
Textafrica
0 : 2
ENH Vilankulo
09 Nov
Textafrica
0 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Songo 22 18 3 1 50:13 57
2 Associacao Black Bulls 23 11 6 6 35:26 39
3 Ferroviario Beira 23 10 7 6 19:13 37
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 22 9 7 6 38:31 34
5 Ferroviario Maputo 23 7 12 4 25:18 33
6 Baia de Pemba 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
7 ENH Vilankulo 24 7 10 7 22:21 31
8 Costa do Sol 23 7 10 6 18:18 31
9 Ferroviario Nacala 23 8 7 8 16:17 31
10 Chingale de Tete 22 6 9 7 22:21 27
11 Ferroviario Nampula 22 6 8 8 21:29 26
12 Textafrica 23 4 8 11 15:30 20
13 Desportivo de Nacala 20 2 6 12 13:31 12
14 Desportivo Matola 22 2 4 16 11:40 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)