Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Van vs Urartu

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Ghazaryan A.
46' Event
Bruno Michel
Assist: Mkrtchyan S.
56'
Samuel Reis

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Van and Urartu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Van
28%
Draws
50%
Urartu
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Urartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Urartu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Urartu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Urartu here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Van Clean Sheet 20%
Urartu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Van Urartu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Van
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
Van vs Urartu
1:2
Oct 28, 2025 Armenian Cup
Urartu vs Van
4:0
Aug 15, 2025 Premier League
Van vs Urartu
0:2
May 28, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Van
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Van Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovhannisyan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Michel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Van 24 / 100
Urartu 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Van Urartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Van scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Urartu let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Van has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Van VS Urartu
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Van

(Home)
15 Jul
Noah
2 : 0
Van
11 Jul
Ararat Yerevan
2 : 2
Van
27 May
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 1
Van
16 May
Van
0 : 1
Alashkert
08 May
Van
1 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
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Urartu

(Away)
26 Jul
Urartu
1 : 1
Syunik
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
14 Jul
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 4
Urartu
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League (Main)