Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
Vegalta Sendai Logo

Vegalta Sendai

Sat, Mar 7, 2026
2 - 1
05:00 AM
Shonan Bellmare Logo

Shonan Bellmare

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Matsui R.
23' Event
Kobayashi K.
Assist: Igarashi S.
46'
Sub
Shimoguchi W. In: Matsumoto H.
Out: Shimoguchi W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Vegalta Sendai and Shonan Bellmare finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vegalta Sendai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vegalta Sendai
30%
Draws
34%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vegalta Sendai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vegalta Sendai taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 20%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vegalta Sendai Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 22 14
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 J1 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare
0:2
Mar 13, 2021 J1 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai
3:1
Dec 19, 2020 J1 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobayashi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Feitoza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 36 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vegalta Sendai Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Shonan Bellmare let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vegalta Sendai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Shonan Bellmare
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vegalta Sendai

(Home)
15 Jul
Kashima Antlers
5 : 0
Vegalta Sendai
06 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Toyama
30 May
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0
Kofu
23 May
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 3
Yokohama FC
16 May
Shonan Bellmare
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
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Shonan Bellmare

(Away)
17 Jul
Kyoto
1 : 4
Shonan Bellmare
06 Jun
Sagan Tosu
1 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
30 May
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 2
Iwaki
24 May
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
16 May
Shonan Bellmare
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)