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Verdes vs Alianza FC

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF League
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Mancia I.
24'
Garnier F.
29'
Myvett D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Alianza FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Verdes
6%
Draws
90%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza FC come out ahead of Verdes on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Alianza FC taking it.
  • Alianza FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Verdes Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdes Alianza FC
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 1 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2022 CONCACAF League
Alianza FC vs Verdes
5:1
Aug 18, 2022 CONCACAF League
Verdes vs Alianza FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdes Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Landazuri V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zelaya R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdes 10 / 100
Alianza FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdes Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Alianza FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Verdes's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Alianza FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verdes VS Alianza FC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdes

(Home)
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5
Motagua
21 Aug
Cartagines
8 : 1
Verdes
15 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1
Verdes
06 Aug
Verdes
1 : 2
Saprissa
30 Jul
Verdes
1 : 4
Motagua
Page 1 of 5

Alianza FC

(Away)
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Antigua
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tauro -
TBD -
Sporting San Miguelito 4
Malacateco 1
Motagua -
TBD -
TBD -
Cibao -
Olimpia -
TBD -
Municipal 9
Vega Real 0
Diriangen -
TBD -
TBD -
Comunicaciones -
Herediano -
TBD -
Pacific FC 6
Waterhouse 0
Cartagines -
TBD -
Real Espana 3
Esteli 1
Alianza -
TBD -
Alajuelense 4
Aguila 1
Alianza FC -
TBD -
Platense Municipal 2
Verdes 2
1/8-finals
Tauro 2
Sporting San Miguelito 1
Motagua 3
Cibao 0
Olimpia 3
Municipal 2
Diriangen 2
Comunicaciones 1
Herediano 2
Pacific FC 1
Cartagines 0
Real Espana 4
Alianza 1
Alajuelense 6
Alianza FC 7
Verdes 1
Quarter-finals
Tauro 0
Motagua 1
Olimpia 7
Diriangen 1
Herediano 2
Real Espana 4
Alajuelense 3
Alianza FC 0
Semi-finals
Motagua 0
Olimpia 1
Real Espana 2
Alajuelense 5
Final
Olimpia 5
Alajuelense 4