Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vidar vs Notodden

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Alustar Arena (Lassa), Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Pettersen A.
12' Event
Wenneberg M.
19' Event
Bjerkan B.

AI Match Summary

Notodden in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vidar
6%
Draws
90%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Notodden have won more games recently than Vidar.
  • Win probability leans Notodden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Notodden have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vidar Clean Sheet 10%
Notodden Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vidar Notodden
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Vidar vs Notodden
0:5
Oct 7, 2017 Division 2 - Group 2
Vidar vs Notodden
1:3
Jun 25, 2017 Division 2 - Group 2
Notodden vs Vidar
5:1
Aug 17, 2013 Division 2 - Group 3
Vidar vs Notodden
1:2
May 4, 2013 Division 2 - Group 3
Notodden vs Vidar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vidar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Wenneberg M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bjerkan B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vidar 10 / 100
Notodden 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vidar Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vidar scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Notodden conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Vidar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vidar VS Notodden
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vidar

(Home)
02 Aug
Vidar
4 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
25 Jul
Arendal
4 : 0
Vidar
27 Jun
Vidar
2 : 4
Kvik Halden
20 Jun
Bjarg
3 : 1
Vidar
13 Jun
Vidar
1 : 1
Pors
Page 1 of 6

Notodden

(Away)
01 Aug
Mjondalen
0 : 1
Notodden
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
27 Jun
Sandviken
0 : 4
Notodden
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
14 Jun
Lysekloster
0 : 2
Notodden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 14 10 2 2 28:15 32
2 Kvik Halden 14 8 3 3 27:18 27
3 Brattvag 14 8 2 4 26:15 26
4 Mjondalen 14 8 2 4 27:19 26
5 Bjarg 14 8 1 5 25:20 25
6 Notodden 14 7 3 4 21:11 24
7 Traeff 14 6 4 4 27:23 22
8 Sotra 14 6 3 5 27:14 21
9 Pors 14 5 4 5 16:18 19
10 Arendal 14 3 5 6 18:23 14
11 Sandviken 14 4 2 8 21:32 14
12 Lysekloster 14 3 5 6 17:28 14
13 Vidar 14 1 3 10 13:37 6
14 Eik-Tonsberg 14 1 1 12 16:36 4
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)