Sport Picks
Vietnam U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
Asia
AFC Asian Cup U23 Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah 
Match Events
35'
35'
Sub
Le Viktor In: Nguyen Dinh Bac
Out: Le Viktor
39'
39'
Nguyen Le Phat
Assist: Nguyen Dinh Bac
42'
42'
Ndiaye J.
AI Match Summary
Vietnam U23 in this AFC Asian Cup U23 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: United Arab Emirates U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- United Arab Emirates U23 haven't matched Vietnam U23's recent run of results.
- Model gives United Arab Emirates U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
- Vietnam U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor United Arab Emirates U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 20%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vietnam U23 | United Arab Emirates U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 16, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
3:2
Mar 25, 2023 Friendly International
Vietnam U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:4
May 28, 2022 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Vietnam U23
3:0
Jan 10, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Friendly International
Vietnam U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vietnam U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nguyen Le Phat
1 Goals Assists Leader Nguyen Dinh Bac
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
United Arab Emirates U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Al Menhali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vietnam U23 20 / 100
United Arab Emirates U23 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vietnam U23 United Arab Emirates U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vietnam U23 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
United Arab Emirates U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Vietnam U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vietnam U23 VS United Arab Emirates U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vietnam U23
(Home) 31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0 Vietnam U23
28 Mar
Thailand U23
1 : 0 Vietnam U23
25 Mar
Vietnam U23
1 : 1 North Korea U23
23 Jan
Vietnam U23
3 : 2 South Korea U23
20 Jan
Vietnam U23
0 : 3 China U23
Page 1 of 7
25 Mar
Vietnam U23
1 : 1 North Korea U23
23 Jan
Vietnam U23
3 : 2 South Korea U23
20 Jan
Vietnam U23
0 : 3 China U23
16 Jan
Vietnam U23
3 : 2 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jan
Vietnam U23
2 : 0 Jordan U23
Page 1 of 3
United Arab Emirates U23
(Away) 09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
03 Jun
South Korea U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
31 Mar
United Arab Emirates U23
3 : 1 Oman U23
16 Jan
Vietnam U23
3 : 2 United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
03 Jun
South Korea U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
16 Jan
Vietnam U23
3 : 2 United Arab Emirates U23
07 Jan
Qatar U23
0 : 2 United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Vietnam U233
United Arab Emirates U232
Uzbekistan U230
China U231
Japan U232
Jordan U231
Australia U231
South Korea U232
Semi-finals
Vietnam U230
China U233
Japan U231
South Korea U230
Final
China U230
Japan U234
Vietnam U233
South Korea U232