Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Sky Stadium, Wellington 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Macarthur FC in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macarthur FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Wellington Phoenix have won more games recently than Macarthur FC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Macarthur FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Macarthur FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Macarthur FC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Wellington Phoenix stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix
(Home)Macarthur FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |