Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington United W vs Eastern Suburbs W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nathan R.
18' Event
Jenkins M.
34' Event
Jenkins M.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Wellington United W and Eastern Suburbs W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wellington United W
6%
Draws
4%
Eastern Suburbs W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern Suburbs W come out ahead of Wellington United W on wins alone.
  • Wellington United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Eastern Suburbs W
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 4.75 3.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
3:2
Nov 16, 2024 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Wellington United W
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alder S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Eastern Suburbs W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nathan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mettam N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 83 / 100
Eastern Suburbs W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Eastern Suburbs W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington United W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Wellington United W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Eastern Suburbs W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Eastern Suburbs W
4.75 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs W

(Away)
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
23 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Petone W
14 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0
Southern United W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)