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Wil vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Lidl Arena, Wil
Wil Logo

Wil

2 - 2
FT
Aarau Logo

Aarau

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
N'djoli J.
Assist: Breedijk L.
20' Event
Filet E.
Assist: Fazliu V.
45' Event
N'djoli J.
Assist: Staubli T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Wil
28%
Draws
22%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Wil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Wil haven't matched Aarau's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wil a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wil Clean Sheet 13%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Aarau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Aarau
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Wil
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Wil
2:0
Aug 1, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Aarau
1:3
May 9, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Wil
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer N'djoli J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Filet E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obexer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 48 / 100
Aarau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Wil found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Aarau let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Wil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Aarau
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
31 Jul
Wil
1 : 2
Xamax
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
18 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Bruhl SG
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
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Aarau

(Away)
01 Aug
Aarau
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
30 Jun
Aarau
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)